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(Article of periodic en Anglais - 1980)

Document title

Bursts of aftershocks, long-term precursors of strong earthquakes

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

KEILIS-BOROK V. I. ; KNOPOFF L. ; ROTVAIN I. M. ;

Abstract

Earthquakes that are followed within a short time by abnormally large numbers of aftershocks are hypothesised to be long-term precursors of strongers earthquakes. In a test of the hypothesis, 18 out of 23 strong earthquakes, in five regions worldwide, were predicted retrospectively. In comparison with a random model the precursory pattern occurs at a satisfactorily high confidence level.

Source

Article of periodic

published at : Nature London

Editor :

Millesime : 1980, vol. 283, no5744 [pp. 259-263]

Bibliographic references : 15 réf.

Language

Anglais

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