(Article of periodic en Anglais - 2010)

Document title

Simulation on the dynamics of forest area changes in Northeast China

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

DENG X. (1 2) ; JIANG Q. (1 3) ; ZHAN J. (4) ; HE S. (1) ; LIN Y. (1) ;
(1) Inst. of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Beijing, CHINE
(2) Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy, CAS, Beijing, CHINE
(3) Graduate Univ. of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, CHINE
(4) State Key Lab. of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Normal Univ., Beijing, CHINE


To explore the dynamics of forest area change in Northeast China, an econometric model is developed which is composed of three equations identifying forestry production, conversion from open forest to closed forest and conversion from other land uses to closed forest so as to explore the impacts on the forest area changes from demographic, social, economic, location and geophysical factors. On this basis, the AA. employ the Dynamics ofLand System (DLS) model to simulate land-use conversions between forest area and non-forest cover and the land-use conversions within the sub-classes of forest area for the period 2000–2020 under business as usual scenario, environmental protection scenario and economic growth scenario. The simulation results show that forest area will expand continuously and there exist various kinds of changing patterns for the sub-classes of forest area


Article of periodic

published at : Journal of geographical sciences. Acta geographica sinica / ISSN 1009-637X

Editor : CHINE

Millesime : 2010, vol. 20, no4 [pp. 495-509]

Bibliographic references : 32 ref.

Collation : 4 fig., 3 tabl.



Digital Object Identifier

Go to electronic document thanks to its DOI : doi:10.1007/s11442-010-0495-0

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