(Article of periodic en Anglais - 2010)

Document title

Factors and mechanism driving the land-use conversion in Jiangxi Province

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

ZHAN J. (1) ; SHI N. (1) ; HE S. (2) ; LIN Y. (2) ;
(1) State Key Lab. of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Normal Univ., Beijing, CHINE
(2) Inst. of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Beijing, CHINE


This article explores the factors and mechanism driving the land-use conversion at regional level by developing and using an econometric approach which is called the simultaneous equations model (SEM). A case study in Jiangxi Province of China is conducted by establishing the SEM, which consists of three equations including agricultural production, land conversion of cultivated land to built-up area and land conversion of cultivated land to forest cover/grassland from 1988 to 2005. And then this paper employs the method of piecewise estimation to represent the influences of various factors. Estimation results show that population is a predominant factor driving the land-use conversion at counties, while social and economic factors are determinant factors in the short term for the entire Jiangxi Province


Article of periodic

published at : Journal of geographical sciences. Acta geographica sinica / ISSN 1009-637X

Editor : CHINE

Millesime : 2010, vol. 20, no4 [pp. 525-539]

Bibliographic references : 29 ref.

Collation : 1 fig., 4 tabl.



Digital Object Identifier

Go to electronic document thanks to its DOI : doi:10.1007/s11442-010-0525-y

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