(Article of periodic en Anglais - 2011)

Document title

Climate change and its driving effect on the runoff in the "Three-River Headwaters" region

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

ZHANG S. (1 3) ; HUA D. (1 2) ; MENG X. (1 2) ; ZHANG Y. (1 3) ;
(1) Inst. of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Beijing, CHINE
(2) Graduate Univ. of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, CHINE
(3) Key Lab. of Water Cycle and Related Surface Processes, Inst. of Geographic Sciences and Natural resources Research, CAS, Beijing, CHINE


Based on the data of the 12 meteorological stations in the “Three-River Headwaters” region and the observed runoff data of Zhimenda in the headwater sub-region of the Yangtze River, Tangnaihai in the headwater sub-region of the Yellow River and Changdu in the headwater sub-region of the Lancang River during the period 1965-2004, this paper analyses the trends of precipitation, temperature, runoff depth and carries out significance tests by means of Mann-Kendall-Sneyers sequential trend test. Makkink model is applied to calculate the potential evaporation. The runoff model driven by precipitation and potential evaporation is developed and the influence on runoff by climate change is simulated under different scenarios. It is shown that although the precipitation and the potential evaporation have positive and negative effects on runoff relatively, fluctuated characteristics of individual effect on the runoff depth in specific situations are represented


Article of periodic

published at : Journal of geographical sciences. Acta geographica sinica / ISSN 1009-637X

Editor : CHINE

Millesime : 2011, vol. 21, no6 [pp. 963-978]

Bibliographic references : 25 ref.

Collation : 9 fig., 3 tabl.



Digital Object Identifier

Go to electronic document thanks to its DOI : doi:10.1007/s11442-011-0893-y

Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI), 2012
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