(Article of periodic en Anglais - 2012)

Document title

Without power ? Landslide inventories in the face of climate change

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

KORUP O. (1) ; GÖRÜM T. (2 3) ; HAYAKAWA Y. (4) ;
(1) Inst. of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Univ., Potsdam, ALLEMAGNE
(2) Dep. of Earth System Analysis, Fac of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation (ITC), Univ. of Twente, Enschede, PAYS-BAS
(3) Yıldız Technical Univ., Natural Science Research Center, Istanbul, TURQUIE
(4) Center for Spatial Information Science, Univ., Tokyo, JAPON


The results obtained with simple Monte Carlo and bootstrap simulations of statistical models show that significant changes to total volumes contained in such inventories may be masked by statistically indistinguishable scaling parameters, critically depending on, among others, the size of the largest of landslides recorded. Conversely, comparable model parameter values may obscure significant, i.e. more than twofold, changes to landslide occurrence, and thus inferred rates of hillslope denudation and sediment delivery to drainage networks. A time series of some of Earth's largest mass movements reveals clustering near and partly before the last glacial-interglacial transition and a distinct step-over from white noise to temporal clustering around this period. However, elucidating whether this is a distinct signal of first-order climate-change impact on slope stability or simply coincides with a transition from short-term statistical noise to long-term steady-state conditions remains an important research challenge


Article of periodic

published at : Earth surface processes and landforms / ISSN 0197-9337 / CODEN ESPLDB

Editor : Wiley, Chichester - ROYAUME-UNI (1981)

Millesime : 2012, vol. 37, no1 [pp. 92-99]

Bibliographic references : 1 p.

Collation : 7 fig.



INIST-CNRS, Cote INIST : 17355

Digital Object Identifier

Go to electronic document thanks to its DOI : doi:10.1002/esp.2248

Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI), 2012
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