(Article of periodic en Anglais - 2012)

Document title

Runoff variation and its response to climate change in the Three Rivers Source Region

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

ZHANG Y. (1) ; ZHANG S. (1) ; ZHAI X. (2) ; XIA J. (1 2) ;
(1) Key Lab. of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Inst. of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, CHINE
(2) State Key Lab. of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Univ., Wuhan, CHINE


Runoff at the 3 time scales (non-flooding season, flooding season and annual period) was simulated and tested from 1958 to 2005 at Tangnaihai (Yellow River Source Region : YeSR), Zhimenda (Yangtze River Source Region : YaSR) and Changdu (Lancang River Source Region : LcSR) by hydrological modeling, trend detection and comparative analysis. Also, future runoff variations from 2010 to 2039 at the 3 outlets were analyzed in A1B and B1 scenarios of CSIRO and NCAR climate model and the impact of climate change was tested. The results highlight that the most sensitive region to climate change is YaSR, followed by YeSR and LcSR


Article of periodic

published at : Journal of geographical sciences. Acta geographica sinica / ISSN 1009-637X

Editor : CHINE

Millesime : 2012, vol. 22, no5 [pp. 781-794]

Bibliographic references : 27 ref.

Collation : 4 fig., 4 tabl.



Digital Object Identifier

Go to electronic document thanks to its DOI : doi:10.1007/s11442-012-0963-9

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