(Article of periodic en Anglais - 2012)

Document title

Water demand forecasting of Beijing using the Time Series Forecasting Method

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

ZHAI Y. (1 2) ; WANG J. (1 2) ; TENG Y. (1 2) ; ZUO R. (1 2) ;
(1) College of Water Sciences, Normal Univ., Beijing, CHINE
(2) Engineering Research Center for Groundwater Pollution Control and Remediation, Ministry of Education of China, Beijing, CHINE


During the past 30 years (1980–2009), mean annual precipitation and total water resource of Beijing have decreased by 6.89% and 31.37% compared with those perennial values, respectively, while total water consumption during the same period reached pinnacle historically. Prediction and discussion are achieved for evolution of total water consumption, water consumed structure, and supply-demand situation of water resource in the near future of Beijing using Time Series Forecasting Method. The purpose of the endeavor of this paper is to provide scientific basis for the harmonious development between socio-economy and water resources, for the establishment of rational strategic planning of water resources, and for the social sustainable development of Beijing with scientific bases


Article of periodic

published at : Journal of geographical sciences. Acta geographica sinica / ISSN 1009-637X

Editor : CHINE

Millesime : 2012, vol. 22, no5 [pp. 919-932]

Bibliographic references : 19 ref.

Collation : 4 fig., 2 tabl.



Digital Object Identifier

Go to electronic document thanks to its DOI : doi:10.1007/s11442-012-0973-7

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