(Article of periodic en Anglais - 2013)

Document title

Carbon emissions trends with optimal balanced economic growth of China and the USA and some abatement options for China

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

WANG Z. (1 2) ; ZHU Y. (1) ; PENG Y. (2) ;
(1) Inst. of Policy and Management, CAS, Beijing, CHINE
(2) Key Lab. of Geographical Information Science, East China Normal Univ., Shanghai, CHINE


This paper presented an approach to project the future CO2 emissions from the perspective of optimal economic growth, and applied this model to the cases of China and the United States, whose CO2 emissions together contributed to more than 40% of the global emissions. The projection results under the balanced and optimal economic growth path reveal that the CO2 emissions will peak in 2029 for China and 2024 for the USA owing to their empirically implied pace of energy efficiency improvement. Moreover, some abatement options are analyzed for China, which indicate that 1) putting up the energy price will decrease the emissions at a high cost; 2) enhancing the decline rate of energy intensity can significantly mitigate the emissions with a modest cost; and 3) the energy substitution policy of replacing carbon intensive energies with clean ones has considerable potential to alleviate emissions without compromising the economic development


Article of periodic

published at : Journal of geographical sciences. Acta geographica sinica / ISSN 1009-637X

Editor : CHINE

Millesime : 2013, vol. 23, no6 [pp. 991-1004]

Bibliographic references : 42 ref.

Collation : 5 fig.



Digital Object Identifier

Go to electronic document thanks to its DOI : doi:10.1007/s11442-013-1058-y

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