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(Article of periodic en Anglais - 2014)

Document title

The impact of climate change on urban transport resilience in a changing world

published at : Applied meteorology and climatology

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

JAROSZWESKI D. (1) ; HOOPER E. (1) ; CHAPMAN L. (1) ;
(1) Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham, ROYAUME-UNI

Abstract

This paper investigates the current state of the art for assessments on urban surface transport, where rising populations and increasing dependence on efficient and reliable mobility have increased the importance placed on resilience to weather. The standard structure of climate change impact assessment (CIA) requires understanding in 3 important areas : how weather currently affects infrastructure and operations; how climate change may alter the frequency and magnitude of these impacts; and how concurrent technological and socio-economic development may shape the transport network of the future, either ameliorating or exacerbating the effects of climate change. This paper traces a number of developments in the extrapolation of physical and behavioural relationships on to future climates, including a broad move away from previous deterministic methods and towards probabilistic projections which make use of a much broader range of climate change model output, giving a better representation of the uncertainty involved

Source

Thematical fascicle

published at : Progress in physical geography / ISSN 0309-1333 / CODEN PPGEEC

Editor : Sage Publications, London - ROYAUME-UNI (1977)

Millesime : 2014, vol. 38, no 4 [pp. 448-463]

Bibliographic references : 4 p.

Collation : fig., tabl.

Language

Anglais

INIST-CNRS, Cote INIST : 14648 A

Digital Object Identifier

Go to electronic document thanks to its DOI : doi:10.1177/0309133314538741

Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI), 2014
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