(Article of periodic en Anglais - 2014)

Document title

Sequential city growth : Theory and evidence from the US

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

SHENG K. (1) ; SUN W. (2 3) ; FAN J. (2 3) ;
(1) Business School, Shandong Univ. of Technology, Shandong, CHINE
(2) Inst. of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, CHINE
(3) Key Lab. of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, CAS, Beijing, CHINE


This paper examines how cities develop and grow in the upper tail of size distribution in a large-scale economy based on a theoretical model under new economic geography framework and the empirical evidence from the US. The results show that cities grow in a sequential pattern. Cities with the best economic conditions are the first to grow fastest until they reach a critical size, then their growth rates slow down and the smaller cities farther down in the urban hierarchy become the fastest-growing ones in sequence. This paper also reveals 3 related features of urban system : 1), The city size distribution evolves from low-level balanced to primate and finally high-level balanced pattern in an inverted U-shaped path; 2), There exist persistent discontinuities, or gaps, between city size classes; 3), City size in the upper tail exhibits conditional convergence characteristics


Article of periodic

published at : Journal of geographical sciences. Acta geographica sinica / ISSN 1009-637X

Editor : CHINE

Millesime : 2014, vol. 24, no6 [pp. 1161-1174]

Bibliographic references : 26 ref.

Collation : 8 fig., 2 tabl.



Digital Object Identifier

Go to electronic document thanks to its DOI : doi:10.1007/s11442-014-1145-8

Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI), 2014
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