(Article of periodic en Anglais - 1997)

Document title

Estimating the likelihood of fallacious ecological inference: linear ecological regression in the presence of context effects

Authors(s) and Affiliation(s)

OWEN G. (1) ; GROFMAN B. ;
(1) Dep. of Mathematics, Naval Post-Graduate School, Monterey, ETATS-UNIS


For data on voting patterns in small geographic units such as voting precincts, the AA. show that the presence of a plausible type of race-related contextual effect will lead to a quadratic relationship between minority share of the electorate and the share of the vote received by the minority candidate. When the electorate is located in racially homogeneous precincts, or when the contextual effects are small, they show that the estimates of the key parameters of interest in voting rights litigation will be approximated by a bivariate linear model. Fallacies of ecological inference influence can be avoided with near certainty


Article of periodic

published at : Political geography / ISSN 0962-6298

Editor : Butterworth-Heinemann, Oxford - ROYAUME-UNI (1992)

Millesime : 1997, vol. 16, no8 [pp. 675-690]

Bibliographic references : 30 ref.

Collation : Illustration ;




Laboratoire INTERGEO - Paris

Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI), 1998.
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